Is the U.S. Economy Slowing Down?
There always seems to be a lot of noise and chatter surrounding the current president Donald Trump. But despite the controversies, here on Moneyball Economics we think the president deserves plenty of...
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Are We Just In A Dead Cat Bounce? Or Are We Headed For New Highs?
The market has been so volatile, we’re now in a “bad news is good news” phase. The global economy was heading for a recession well before Trump stepped in with his trade wars (mainly with China). China...
View ArticleMarket Update – December 13 2018
There’s a positive inflection point that seems to be coming up in January. First, the market is oversold. The short sellers’ selling pressure is done. Which means most have closed out their positions...
View ArticleIt’s Time To Get Bullish
There are many reasons to get a little bullish today. Let’s talk first about where we are and then talk about where we are heading. So, why did the market drop? The recent market blow-off has been...
View ArticleNovember 2018 Market Update – Trade War + Bitcoin
Stay calm. All is well in the markets. Remember this time last year Trump unleashed a massive tax cut. The tax cuts are what sparked the sugar rush of spending to this day. But things aren’t as...
View ArticleWhat’s Next for the Cannabis Economy?
What’s Next for the Cannabis Economy? Two more U.S. states voted to legalize recreational marijuana during the primaries: Michigan and North Dakota. Michigan voted for it. North Dakota against it. That...
View ArticleQuick Market Outlook (November 9, 2018)
It was a rough October. And although this week saw a massive rally, we ended the week with the S&P falling 0.9% and the Nasdaq 1.65%. What’s Happening? There’s a quality-of-earnings problem. Of the...
View ArticleDon’t Worry – The Bull Market Is Still On
No Change to the Bullish Playbook So far, the economy is moving as we expected: Fed raised rates and remains hawkish (aka more rate hikes coming) Trump’s economic sabre rattling is working. Canada...
View ArticleThe Trade War Is About To Heat Up
Tariffs Will Be A Main Driver Of Volatility Things are about to get rocky. The market still continues to try and price in tariffs and sanctions. This is high-stakes poker. Trump opened with a big...
View ArticleTrump Is Winning The Trade War
Market will rip on a Mexico/US Deal Trump continues to throw the U.S.’s economic weight around. He has picked fights with pretty much every major trading partner: Europe, Canada, Mexico and China. Any...
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Is Bitcoin The New Safe Haven Trade?
Bitcoin Is Becoming The New Safe Haven Trade Emerging markets are continuously using bitcoin (BTC) as a way to get their money of their respective countries. Crypto currencies are attractive to...
View ArticleHow We Profited Off Americans Looking For Love…
Congress Guaranteed Profits For This Industry Congress passed a law earlier this year intended to fight sex trafficking. Under the new law, a website or similar service provider is liable for any...
View ArticleTrump Is Winning – Which Is Good For Stocks
It’s the start of the third quarter. The market ended slightly up for the first half. We’ll see where it goes, but it’s promising considering the rising global trade war that Trump kicked off....
View ArticleWhat Is Trump Up To With All This Tariff Talk
The market is really upset by the Trump Administration’s hawkish trade tariff talk. But what he’s doing is simple. Trump is just playing for the midterm elections. He has 3~4 months to pull a rabbit...
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Gambling Shows Consumers Are Spending. Cannabis Trumps Alcohol.
(The chart above averages the rates of gambling growth for Detroit, Maryland, Connecticut, Atlantic City, & Pennsylvania.) Where We Are In The State Of Gambling. Gamblers are back. Money is...
View ArticleIs Trump Good Or Bad For This Market?
The market has been on a tear since Trump moved into the oval office. But is he good or bad for the market? His style is combative and divisive. This brings on volatility. The opposite of what...
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Why China’s Soft-Landing Isn’t Looking So Good
Over the past few months, I have been pointing to slower growth coming out of Asia (i.e. China) and the E.U. (i.e. Germany). We can track the slowdown by looking at semiconductors and the overall...
View ArticleThe Key Risk In The Market I’m Looking At Right Now
The knock-on effects of higher interests is the key risk I’m following these days. You may have seen headlines about the risk of rising interest rates. The 10-Year Treasury yield now sits above the 3%...
View ArticleThe Markets Finally Start To Look At Valuations
We are firmly in earnings season and the market keeps getting disappointed. Don’t look at earnings because they are heavily pumped up by the Trump tax change. And by a weak dollar. What you should...
View ArticleA No-Brainer Trade: Free Dating Sites Closed
Free dating sites close down. Only paid sites remain. You might not know this, but Congress just wiped out the casual dating scene in mid-March when they recently signed into law the Fight Online Sex...
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